Is the handicap rating to the horse's advantage or disadvantage?

Which is better?  To back a horse that drops in the weights or to back a horse that has risen in the weights.  Or perhaps one that has stayed the same.  The conclusion I came to was that a horse drops in weight for a good reason.  It's performing badly and would need a big drop to have a chance of winning.  A horse has a rising rating because it shows promise.  If back after a break it's had several months to rest and feed on lush green grass.  It's first outing is just to get it back into the right mental frame of mind and to ensure the jockey understands the horse.  Then bham!  It wins a 14 horse handicap in style.

Related subjects:

 
Custom Search
The handicapper often gets it wrong